It was all over the news outlets how the latest reports showed an increase for year over year home prices in Denver and Littleton.
Of course, the report didn’t mention Littleton by name, however, it was included as being part of the overall Denver Metro market.
According to the Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller home-price index, the Denver area prices increased by 2.9% from January 1, 2009 when compared to January 1, 2010. There were five major markets that did even better, and they were; Washington D. C, LA, Dallas, San Diego, and San Francisco at the top.
What analysts read from these numbers, is that the market has stabilized. No one seemed to be predicting a soon return to higher gains on a monthly basis as we had experienced in the past good times. One thing I want to make clear to the reader is, these gains are based on averages of the cost of homes sold. It doesn’t mean that every home went up in value 2.9%, but the “basket value” of all the home sales did rise. Over the last several years, the low end of our market had been extremely hot with a high number of investors purchasing homes that they could spruce up and then rent out with a positive cash flow. While this was happening, the higher price homes sat on the market for extremely long periods of time. This heavy weighting to the low end helped to bring our averages down over the last couple of years. The good news was that home values didn’t fall by the amounts of decline mentioned in the media.
Yes, our homes did loose value over the last half dozen years, but not to the degree some people think. I still hear of people that are sitting on the fence waiting for values to fall further. Baring any economic disasters, I think these people may be disappointed. The question remains, ‘what will interest rates do and how will this affect the recovery?’ Great question and I wished I knew the answer. The Federal Reserve has indicated they will stop buying mortgages which should have the result of pushing home loan rates higher. I’ve heard experts predict they could go up from 30 to 150 basis points.
Time will tell, but one thing we have in our favor, is that Colorado/Denver is still considered a great place to live and conduct business. This quality of life has and still is attracting people and businesses to our area.
Jerry Becker
jbeckerhomes@comcast.net